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UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier III

The trilogy between Stipe Miocic and Daniel Cormier concludes with UFC 252, which is set for Saturday, August 15 at the APEX facility in Las Vegas. These heavyweight juggernauts have passed the belt back and forth over the last two years. Before the main attraction, we’ll see another Heavyweight bout between No. 5 Junior Dos Santos and No. 6 Jairzinho Rozenstruik, as well as a Bantamweight bout between undefeated Sean O’Malley and Marlon Vera. The main card starts at 10 PM ET.

 

UFC 252 Main Event: Miocic vs. Cormier

Daniel Cormier (11-2, 1 NC UFC, 22-2 MMA) is hungry for a rematch after losing the Heavyweight title to Stipe Miocic (13-3 UFC, 19-3 MMA) one year after beating the Ohio native at UFC 226—for that very same belt. The first time around, Cormier, the Light Heavyweight champ at the time, came in as an underdog on the MMA odds board and pulled a shocking upset via knockout in the first round. Miocic pointed to illegal eye pokes as having impacted his performance in the Octagon that night.

A rematch took place one year later that had a very different result. Miocic won via TKO (punches) in the fourth round. He hasn’t been in the Octagon since, citing retina surgery to repair damage from multiple eye pokes as the reason. Pressure is on for Cormier, as the 41-year-old intends to retire after this fight. It’s almost a coin flip on the UFC odds board, with Miocic available at —110, and Cormier available at —120.

 

UFC 252 Odds: Junior Dos Santos vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Former Heavyweight champion, Junior Dos Santos (15-6 UFC, 21-7 MMA) is taking on the relative newcomer, Jairzinho Rozenstruik (4-1 UFC, 10-1 MMA) in a Heavyweight bout between ranked fighters that’s expected to be explosive. Being a kickboxer since the age of 17, Rozenstruik’s five UFC fights have all ended in KO or TKO, with just two going beyond the first round.

Despite being ranked one notch above Rozenstruik at No. 5, Dos Santos is beginning to look a bit past his prime after suffering losses (both TKO) in his last two bouts; however, those losses came from No. 3 Curtis Blaydes and No. 2 Francis Ngannou, who also knocked Rozenstruik out in May. Dos Santos has been the underdog in his last two bouts, and he will continue on in that role (+130 UFC 252 odds) against Rozenstruik (—160).

 

UFC 252 Odds: Sean O’Malley vs. Marlon Vera

Sean O’Malley (4-0 UFC, 12-0 MMA) and Marlon Vera (9-5 UFC, 15-6-1 MMA) will finally get to meet in the Octagon one year after their initial matchup for UFC 239 was scrapped. Since then, Vera added two more victories to his three-fight win streak before losing to Yadong Song—albeit in the Featherweight division. No one has ever knocked out or submitted Vera in his MMA career.

O’Malley is up for the challenge. The undefeated 25-year-old has been wanting a step-up in competition since returning from a two-year hiatus that included two six-month suspensions for failed drug tests. He personally thinks himself to be “the best MMA striker out there,” but he’ll need to demonstrate his skills against someone tougher than Eddie Wineland in order to move up the ranks. He’s a —315 favourite against Vera (+245).

 

Other UFC Odds

One of the final two fights on the main card is a rematch between Eastern European Light Heavyweights Magomed Ankalaev (No. 14) and Ion Cutelaba. Ankalaev’s (4-1 UFC, 13-1 MMA) only loss came in his debut UFC fight against Paul Craig, who Ankalaev dominated throughout the better half of the fight, but got caught in a triangle choke at 4:59 into the third round. He beat Cutelaba 38 seconds into the first round by technical knockout (head kicks and punches) in a controversial stoppage that was appealed by Cutelaba afterwards (but was denied by the board). The only way for Cutelaba to exact revenge is to pull an upset as a +235 underdog in the rematch.

The final fight on the main card is a Bantamweight bout between No. 12 John Dodson and No. 15 Merab Dvalishvili. MMA betting odds for the entire card, which is still being hashed out at the moment, are available for UFC betting right now in our sportsbook.

 

*Odds as of August 9th, 2020

 

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How to Bet on UFC

The world of combat sports changed forever on November 12, 1993, when the Ultimate Fighting Championship held their first event in front of 7,800 fight fans in Denver. Now they’re the biggest promotion in mixed martial arts, regularly packing large arenas, and even stadiums, thanks to the millions of people around the world who are betting on the UFC. If you’d like a piece of the action, this UFC Betting 101 guide will show you how to bet on MMA fights, plus some tips and tricks to maximize your betting value.

 

UFC Betting

Unlike other sports that feature a regular season and a playoff, the UFC runs events throughout the year, with the most important ones reserved for pay-per-view and the rest shown on television or UFC Fight Pass. Each card will have about a dozen fights, including preliminaries, with the main event at the top of the card; PPV main events usually have a title on the line, from one of the UFC’s 12 weight divisions (eight male, four female). Here are your options for how to bet on the UFC:

 

Betting On The UFC

Moneyline Betting on the UFC

Like most head-to-head sports, including boxing and tennis, UFC betting is done using moneyline odds, which are expressed at Bodog Sportsbook using the American odds format. One of the fighters will be the favourite, and the other will be the underdog – unless they have exactly the same odds, in which case, the fight will be a pick ‘em. UFC moneyline odds are fixed odds, no point spread attached; all you have to do is pick the winner. The odds you get at the time you place your bet are the odds used to calculate your payout.

 

What Are UFC Moneyline Odds?

To further illustrate this concept, here’s the moneyline from one of the most famous fights in UFC history, when Conor McGregor first met Nate Diaz on March 5, 2016 at UFC 196:

 

  • Diaz                 +300
  • McGregor       –400

McGregor went into this non-title Welterweight bout at the UFC Featherweight champion, and an incredibly popular –400 favorite, paying out $100 for every $400 wagered. With the American odds format, the favorite will always have the negative sign; the underdog usually has the positive sign, as it was in this case with Diaz at +300. In the end, Diaz won this fight via second-round submission, and paid out $300 for every $100 wagered. Smaller and larger bets are allowed, within the minimum and maximum limits at Bodog Sportsbook.

 

Parlay Betting on the UFC

Chances are you’ll want to bet on more than one fight at a time. If you’re looking for a big payday, you can combine all those bets into a single parlay at Bodog. UFC parlays can feature anywhere from two to 12 moneylines; if you get all your picks right, you get paid exponentially more than you would by placing those bets individually. However, if even one of those picks is wrong, the entire parlay loses. It’s the classic risk/reward scenario in action.

 

How Do UFC Parlay Bets Work?

To figure out how much you’ll get paid if your parlay cashes in, just multiply the UFC odds for each fight in your combo bet. This can be a little tricky with moneyline odds. You can do it by hand, or by using one of the many parlay calculators available on the internet. Bodog Sportsbook will do the math for you automatically when you’re filling out your bet slip.

For example, the co-main event at UFC 196 was the following Women’s Bantamweight title fight between champion Holly Holm and challenger Miesha Tate:

 

Tate +240
Holm -310

 

Holm was the heavy favorite after taking the title in a shocking, yet convincing upset over Ronda Rousey, who had beaten Tate soundly in both their earlier fights. However, it was Tate winning the belt by submission late in the fifth round. If you had bet $50 on Diaz and another $50 on Tate, you would have earned $270 in profit, but combining the two underdogs in a $100 parlay would have paid $720 instead. The more fights you add to a parlay, the bigger the payout – as long as you get all those picks right.

 

Futures Betting on the UFC

Betting on UFC futures can be a bit confusing compared to other sports, but it’s actually quite simple. Every once in a while, a situation comes up where two fighters might meet in the Octagon, but nothing has been made official just yet. If it’s two big-name fighters, and enough people are buzzing about their potential matchup, UFC futures odds will be posted.

 

What Is a UFC Futures Bet?

A futures bet in the UFC works exactly the same as a moneyline bet, with a favourite and an underdog shown as above using the American odds format. The only difference is you can’t use futures odds in your UFC parlay.

 

Prop Betting on the UFC

UFC prop bets (short for proposition bets) ask you to wager on something other than the straight-up winner of a fight. Among the most common UFC props are Margin of Victory, where you bet on whether a fighter will win by TKO/KO/DQ, submission, or decision, and Total Rounds, where you bet on whether the fight will go Over or Under the posted total.

Betting on UFC props gets even busier when there’s a marquee matchup on the card. It’s kind of like the Super Bowl; if the fight’s big enough, you might see props for things like which round the fight will end in, or whether a fighter will win by unanimous decision or majority/split decision.

 

How to Bet on the UFC

UFC Betting Strategy and Tips

The more you know about mixed martial arts, the better you’ll do at picking a winner. But even if you’re a beginner, you can put the squeeze on your competition by going online and doing some quick research on the two fighters in question. As they say, styles make fights; a well-rounded MMA practitioner will be skilled at both striking and grappling, both on offense and defense. Look for fights where one opponent’s strengths match up well against the other opponent’s weaknesses. In general. someone with black belts in multiple disciplines (say, Brazilian jiu-jistu and Muay Thai) is more likely to prevail against someone with a lesser belt in just one martial art.

You can also find betting value on the UFC props market by paying attention to the weight divisions. Smaller fighters tend to have more stamina, and they don’t pack the same punching power as fighters from the heavier divisions. It makes a big difference; in the lightest UFC division, Women’s Strawweight (up to 115 pounds), roughly 70 percent of fights end in a decision, while the men in the Heavyweight division (206-265 pounds) only go to the judges’ score cards about 25% of the time.

 

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