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UFC 266 Odds: Volkanovski vs. Ortega Betting Update

Mark the calendar for September 25 because that’s when UFC 266 is set to take place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. This card will see two champions look to defend their belts in front of a full capacity crowd. A third five-round fight will headline the card—a bout between Welterweights Nick Diaz and Robbie Lawler.

We’ve already previewed the main bouts between Featherweight champion Alexander Volkanovski (-155) and challenger Brian Ortega (+130), plus the co-main event that will see the women’s Flyweight champion Valentina Shevchenko (-1500) go toe-to-toe with No. 3 Lauren Murphy (+750). With the rest of the card finalized, we can preview the other intriguing matchups taking place, along with the current MMA betting odds.

UFC 266 Odds: Curtis Blaydes vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik

The top fight beyond the headliners will be a Heavyweight matchup between No. 4 Curtis Blaydes (-310) and No. 6 Jairzinho Rozenstruik (+240). Blaydes (14-3-0, 1 NC) is the larger of the two, with a two-inch advantage in reach and height, and a five-inch advantage in kicking strikes. After losing to No. 3 Derrick Lewis in a fight that Blaydes dominated up until the KO, “Razor” will be highly motivated to deliver as the favourite on the UFC odds board.

Rozenstruik (12-2-0) found suitable competition after going undefeated for 10 straight fights in his professional career. His first loss came at the hands of Francis Ngannou, who is the current Heavyweight champion. A second round TKO victory over Junior dos Santos got Rozenstruik back in the win column following his loss to Ngannou, and this year alone, Rozenstruik has already headlined two Fight Nights with mixed results. He lost to No. 1 Ciryl Gane and beat No. 9 Augusto Sakai, the latter of which earned him Performance of the Night honours. We expect big power in this bout, as 92% of Rozenstruik’s victories have come from KO/TKO. 

UFC 266 Odds: Marlon Moraes vs. Merab Dvalishvili

An interesting matchup between two Bantamweight fighters will cap the preliminary card, which begins at 8 PM ET. No. 6 Marlon Moraes (23-8-1) will face No. 11 Merab Dvalishvili (13-4-0). A sambo specialist, Dvalishvili has been building momentum over the last four years. During that period, he has registered six unanimous decision wins in six fights. Moraes is the higher-ranked fighter of the two and has faced tougher competition than Dvalishvili; however, the Brazilian seemed to reach his ceiling in the last year, which includes back-to-back losses to Rob Font and Cory Sandhagen. There is certainly potential for an upset in this one, as Dvalishvili is a -230 favourite on the MMA odds over Moraes (+185).

UFC 266 Odds: Manon Fiorot vs. Mayra Bueno Silva

The top bout on the early preliminaries is a women’s Flyweight bout between French fighter Manon Fiorot and Brazilian fighter Mayra Bueno Silva. Fiorot (7-1-0) is new to the UFC scene after signing over from the indie circuit just this year. She already has two fights in 2021 and has earned TKO victories in the second round in both fights. Her next opponent, Mayra Bueno Silva (7-1-1) has gone 2-1-1 since joining UFC in 2018 via Dana White’s Contender Series. She had to settle for a draw in her last fight after grabbing the gate during a takedown; the foul resulted in a one point deduction for Silva. Fiorot is a -265 favourite over Silva (+210) for UFC betting.

Other UFC 266 Odds

On the preliminaries, we’re looking forward to a Lightweight bout between No. 8 Dan Hooker (20-10-0) and Nasrat Haqparast (13-3-0). At 31 years, Hooker is one of the more seasoned veterans on the MMA scene. He amassed seven wins in eight fights between 2017 and 2020, but a matchup with No. 1 Lightweight fighter Dustin Poirier proved to be too much in June 2020. Seven months later, Hooker fought the fast-rising Michael Chandler and lost via TKO in the first round. Haqparast (13-3-0) may not be ranked, but he is on a two-fight win streak, with unanimous decisions over Rafa Garcia and Alexander Munoz. Hooker (-170) will be the first ranked opponent that Haqparast (+140) has faced.

Two ranked Heavyweight fighters, No. 10 Chris Daukaus and No. 7 Shamil Abdurakhimov, will face off in the preliminaries. Fighting out of Team Balance in the USA, Daukaus (11-3-0) is worth watching because of his incredible strength. He signed over from the indie circuit last year and has knocked out all three men put in front of him—all in the first round. Abdurakhimov (20-5-0) is a +150 underdog on the UFC 266 odds board to be the first UFC fighter to beat Daukaus (-185).

*Odds as of September 16, 2021

 

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How to Bet on UFC

The world of combat sports changed forever on November 12, 1993, when the Ultimate Fighting Championship held their first event in front of 7,800 fight fans in Denver. Now they’re the biggest promotion in mixed martial arts, regularly packing large arenas, and even stadiums, thanks to the millions of people around the world who are betting on the UFC. If you’d like a piece of the action, this UFC Betting 101 guide will show you how to bet on MMA fights, plus some tips and tricks to maximize your betting value.

 

UFC Betting

Unlike other sports that feature a regular season and a playoff, the UFC runs events throughout the year, with the most important ones reserved for pay-per-view and the rest shown on television or UFC Fight Pass. Each card will have about a dozen fights, including preliminaries, with the main event at the top of the card; PPV main events usually have a title on the line, from one of the UFC’s 12 weight divisions (eight male, four female). Here are your options for how to bet on the UFC:

 

Betting On The UFC

Moneyline Betting on the UFC

Like most head-to-head sports, including boxing and tennis, UFC betting is done using moneyline odds, which are expressed at Bodog Sportsbook using the American odds format. One of the fighters will be the favourite, and the other will be the underdog – unless they have exactly the same odds, in which case, the fight will be a pick ‘em. UFC moneyline odds are fixed odds, no point spread attached; all you have to do is pick the winner. The odds you get at the time you place your bet are the odds used to calculate your payout.

 

What Are UFC Moneyline Odds?

To further illustrate this concept, here’s the moneyline from one of the most famous fights in UFC history, when Conor McGregor first met Nate Diaz on March 5, 2016 at UFC 196:

 

  • Diaz                 +300
  • McGregor       –400

McGregor went into this non-title Welterweight bout at the UFC Featherweight champion, and an incredibly popular –400 favorite, paying out $100 for every $400 wagered. With the American odds format, the favorite will always have the negative sign; the underdog usually has the positive sign, as it was in this case with Diaz at +300. In the end, Diaz won this fight via second-round submission, and paid out $300 for every $100 wagered. Smaller and larger bets are allowed, within the minimum and maximum limits at Bodog Sportsbook.

 

Parlay Betting on the UFC

Chances are you’ll want to bet on more than one fight at a time. If you’re looking for a big payday, you can combine all those bets into a single parlay at Bodog. UFC parlays can feature anywhere from two to 12 moneylines; if you get all your picks right, you get paid exponentially more than you would by placing those bets individually. However, if even one of those picks is wrong, the entire parlay loses. It’s the classic risk/reward scenario in action.

 

How Do UFC Parlay Bets Work?

To figure out how much you’ll get paid if your parlay cashes in, just multiply the UFC odds for each fight in your combo bet. This can be a little tricky with moneyline odds. You can do it by hand, or by using one of the many parlay calculators available on the internet. Bodog Sportsbook will do the math for you automatically when you’re filling out your bet slip.

For example, the co-main event at UFC 196 was the following Women’s Bantamweight title fight between champion Holly Holm and challenger Miesha Tate:

 

Tate +240
Holm -310

 

Holm was the heavy favorite after taking the title in a shocking, yet convincing upset over Ronda Rousey, who had beaten Tate soundly in both their earlier fights. However, it was Tate winning the belt by submission late in the fifth round. If you had bet $50 on Diaz and another $50 on Tate, you would have earned $270 in profit, but combining the two underdogs in a $100 parlay would have paid $720 instead. The more fights you add to a parlay, the bigger the payout – as long as you get all those picks right.

 

Futures Betting on the UFC

Betting on UFC futures can be a bit confusing compared to other sports, but it’s actually quite simple. Every once in a while, a situation comes up where two fighters might meet in the Octagon, but nothing has been made official just yet. If it’s two big-name fighters, and enough people are buzzing about their potential matchup, UFC futures odds will be posted.

 

What Is a UFC Futures Bet?

A futures bet in the UFC works exactly the same as a moneyline bet, with a favourite and an underdog shown as above using the American odds format. The only difference is you can’t use futures odds in your UFC parlay.

 

Prop Betting on the UFC

UFC prop bets (short for proposition bets) ask you to wager on something other than the straight-up winner of a fight. Among the most common UFC props are Margin of Victory, where you bet on whether a fighter will win by TKO/KO/DQ, submission, or decision, and Total Rounds, where you bet on whether the fight will go Over or Under the posted total.

Betting on UFC props gets even busier when there’s a marquee matchup on the card. It’s kind of like the Super Bowl; if the fight’s big enough, you might see props for things like which round the fight will end in, or whether a fighter will win by unanimous decision or majority/split decision.

 

How to Bet on the UFC

UFC Betting Strategy and Tips

The more you know about mixed martial arts, the better you’ll do at picking a winner. But even if you’re a beginner, you can put the squeeze on your competition by going online and doing some quick research on the two fighters in question. As they say, styles make fights; a well-rounded MMA practitioner will be skilled at both striking and grappling, both on offense and defense. Look for fights where one opponent’s strengths match up well against the other opponent’s weaknesses. In general. someone with black belts in multiple disciplines (say, Brazilian jiu-jistu and Muay Thai) is more likely to prevail against someone with a lesser belt in just one martial art.

You can also find betting value on the UFC props market by paying attention to the weight divisions. Smaller fighters tend to have more stamina, and they don’t pack the same punching power as fighters from the heavier divisions. It makes a big difference; in the lightest UFC division, Women’s Strawweight (up to 115 pounds), roughly 70 percent of fights end in a decision, while the men in the Heavyweight division (206-265 pounds) only go to the judges’ score cards about 25% of the time.

 

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