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UFC 270 Betting Update: Ngannou vs Gane

On Saturday, January 22, UFC fans will be treated to two title matches when UFC 270 touches down at Honda Center in Anaheim. The main event will see Heavyweight champion and No. 4 pound-for-pound fighter Francis Ngannou face the interim Heavyweight title holder, Ciryl Gane—the No. 15 pound-for-pound fighter in the UFC. It’ll be Ngannou’s first title defense since taking the belt off of Stipe Miocic last March. 

The co-main event will see Flyweight champion and No. 10 pound-for-pound fighter Brandon Moreno defend his title against the man he took it from: Deiveson Figueiredo. The main card starts at 10 PM ET, and the UFC odds are already buzzing in our sportsbook. We’ll preview the top matchups to get you ready for what should be a competitive show.

UFC 270 Main Event: Francis Ngannou vs Ciryl Gane

Victory was sweet for Ngannou (16-3 lifetime, 11-2 UFC) when he knocked out Miocic at UFC 260 last March for the UFC Heavyweight title. Back in 2018, Ngannou got his first title shot in the division against Miocic after racking up six straight wins since joining the UFC from the indie circuit. A couple of rounds in, however, it was evident that Ngannou wasn’t quite ready and he lost via unanimous decision. 

Although Ngannou also dropped the next fight after his initial loss to Miocic, he earned his second title shot after putting together a four-fight win streak and then topped it off with the victory over Miocic in March. Ngannou has earned four performance bonuses in his last five outings. 

As for Gane (10-0 lifetime, 7-0 UFC), he’s an up-and-comer in the division and is undefeated going into his fourth year as a pro. His most recent victory came against Derrick Lewis, who Ngannou lost to four years ago. At press time, Gane is a -120 favourite to take the belt off Ngannou (EVEN).

UFC 270 Odds: Brandon Moreno vs Deiveson Figueiredo

The Flyweight title bout between champion Moreno (19-5-2 lifetime, 7-2-2 UFC) and No. 1 Figueiredo (20-2-1 lifetime, 9-2-1 UFC) should be as entertaining as the main event. This is Part III of a trilogy between these talented fighters; the first matchup resulted in a draw at UFC 256 when Figueiredo had a point deducted for an illegal strike in the third round. The draw allowed Figueiredo to retain his belt. The second fight took place at UFC 263, and Moreno got the upper hand on the mat, delivering a rear-naked choke to submit the champion in the third round and take the title.

Now Figueiredo is looking to get back his title and prove that he is the top fighter in the Flyweight division. He’ll need to overcome his +145 underdog status to do it, as Moreno is -175 to retain the belt.

UFC 270 Odds: Greg Hardy vs Alexey Oleynik

With the Movsar Evloev-Ilia Topuria Featherweight bout scratched due to COVID-19, the next biggest fight on the main card is a Heavyweight bout between NFL player turned UFC fighter Greg Hardy and seasoned Alexey “The Boa Constrictor” Oleynik. Hardy (7-4, 1 NC lifetime, 4-4, 1 NC UFC) has gone 4-4, 1 NC since joining the UFC off of Dana White’s Contender Series, but he could very well be 5-4 if he didn’t take a puff of an inhaler between the second and third round in his unanimous decision win over Ben Sosoli. The victory was overturned by the Massachusetts State Athletic Commission afterwards.

Hardy’s early success took a nose dive in his last two outings, as he lost via technical knockout against Marcin Tybura in the second round in December 2020 and followed that with a knockout loss in the first round against Tai Tuivasa last July. He’ll be highly motivated to rebound against Oleynik.

Oleynik is also looking to get back on track since suffering a three-fight skid that started with a TKO loss to Derrick Lewis in August 2020. Things got worse when he faced Chris Daukaus last February as he couldn’t make it out of the first round. A third loss delivered at the hands of Sergey Spivak means Oleynik needs to turn things around now to resurrect his career. Can he do that as a +140 underdog against Hardy (-170)?

Other UFC 270 Odds

Representing the men’s Bantamweight division, No. 15 Cody Stamann (19-4-1 lifetime, 5-3-1 UFC) will enter the octagon against Said Nurmagomedov (14-2 lifetime, 3-1 UFC). Before signing on with the UFC in 2017, Stamann spent a long time on the indie circuit, where he picked up a Featherweight title with Triple X Cagefighting and a Bantamweight title with Michiana Fight League. When he did get his first UFC contract, he had already amassed a seven-fight win streak that continued on with three straight UFC wins (all by decision). Unfortunately for Stamann, he met his match in 2018 when he lost to Aljamain Sterling, the current Bantamweight champion, and since then, he has gone 2-2-1.

Nurmagomedov is coming off an impressive win against Mark Striegl. Just 51 seconds into the first round, Nurmagomedov knocked out his opponent, who was making his UFC debut. The result gave Nurmagomedov a winning record, as he was 1-1 going into the fight, with a victory against Ricardo Ramos and a loss against Raoni Barcelos. Nurmagomedov is an early -210 favourite against Stamann (+165). 

The preliminaries start three hours before the main card and will conclude with a Middleweight bout between Rodolfo Vieira (-275) and Wellington Turman (+220). Both fighters are coming off of wins.

Our sportsbook has UFC odds for all of the matchups in the event posted at press time, and there are no favourites with odds greater than -275. This should be a very competitive event with lots of room for upsets, so get your bets in early and sit back and enjoy the show. Early preliminaries start at 6 PM ET.

*Odds as of January 13th, 2022

 

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How to Bet on UFC

The world of combat sports changed forever on November 12, 1993, when the Ultimate Fighting Championship held their first event in front of 7,800 fight fans in Denver. Now they’re the biggest promotion in mixed martial arts, regularly packing large arenas, and even stadiums, thanks to the millions of people around the world who are betting on the UFC. If you’d like a piece of the action, this UFC Betting 101 guide will show you how to bet on MMA fights, plus some tips and tricks to maximize your betting value.

 

UFC Betting

Unlike other sports that feature a regular season and a playoff, the UFC runs events throughout the year, with the most important ones reserved for pay-per-view and the rest shown on television or UFC Fight Pass. Each card will have about a dozen fights, including preliminaries, with the main event at the top of the card; PPV main events usually have a title on the line, from one of the UFC’s 12 weight divisions (eight male, four female). Here are your options for how to bet on the UFC:

 

Betting On The UFC

Moneyline Betting on the UFC

Like most head-to-head sports, including boxing and tennis, UFC betting is done using moneyline odds, which are expressed at Bodog Sportsbook using the American odds format. One of the fighters will be the favourite, and the other will be the underdog – unless they have exactly the same odds, in which case, the fight will be a pick ‘em. UFC moneyline odds are fixed odds, no point spread attached; all you have to do is pick the winner. The odds you get at the time you place your bet are the odds used to calculate your payout.

 

What Are UFC Moneyline Odds?

To further illustrate this concept, here’s the moneyline from one of the most famous fights in UFC history, when Conor McGregor first met Nate Diaz on March 5, 2016 at UFC 196:

 

  • Diaz                 +300
  • McGregor       –400

McGregor went into this non-title Welterweight bout at the UFC Featherweight champion, and an incredibly popular –400 favorite, paying out $100 for every $400 wagered. With the American odds format, the favorite will always have the negative sign; the underdog usually has the positive sign, as it was in this case with Diaz at +300. In the end, Diaz won this fight via second-round submission, and paid out $300 for every $100 wagered. Smaller and larger bets are allowed, within the minimum and maximum limits at Bodog Sportsbook.

 

Parlay Betting on the UFC

Chances are you’ll want to bet on more than one fight at a time. If you’re looking for a big payday, you can combine all those bets into a single parlay at Bodog. UFC parlays can feature anywhere from two to 12 moneylines; if you get all your picks right, you get paid exponentially more than you would by placing those bets individually. However, if even one of those picks is wrong, the entire parlay loses. It’s the classic risk/reward scenario in action.

 

How Do UFC Parlay Bets Work?

To figure out how much you’ll get paid if your parlay cashes in, just multiply the UFC odds for each fight in your combo bet. This can be a little tricky with moneyline odds. You can do it by hand, or by using one of the many parlay calculators available on the internet. Bodog Sportsbook will do the math for you automatically when you’re filling out your bet slip.

For example, the co-main event at UFC 196 was the following Women’s Bantamweight title fight between champion Holly Holm and challenger Miesha Tate:

 

Tate +240
Holm -310

 

Holm was the heavy favorite after taking the title in a shocking, yet convincing upset over Ronda Rousey, who had beaten Tate soundly in both their earlier fights. However, it was Tate winning the belt by submission late in the fifth round. If you had bet $50 on Diaz and another $50 on Tate, you would have earned $270 in profit, but combining the two underdogs in a $100 parlay would have paid $720 instead. The more fights you add to a parlay, the bigger the payout – as long as you get all those picks right.

 

Futures Betting on the UFC

Betting on UFC futures can be a bit confusing compared to other sports, but it’s actually quite simple. Every once in a while, a situation comes up where two fighters might meet in the Octagon, but nothing has been made official just yet. If it’s two big-name fighters, and enough people are buzzing about their potential matchup, UFC futures odds will be posted.

 

What Is a UFC Futures Bet?

A futures bet in the UFC works exactly the same as a moneyline bet, with a favourite and an underdog shown as above using the American odds format. The only difference is you can’t use futures odds in your UFC parlay.

 

Prop Betting on the UFC

UFC prop bets (short for proposition bets) ask you to wager on something other than the straight-up winner of a fight. Among the most common UFC props are Margin of Victory, where you bet on whether a fighter will win by TKO/KO/DQ, submission, or decision, and Total Rounds, where you bet on whether the fight will go Over or Under the posted total.

Betting on UFC props gets even busier when there’s a marquee matchup on the card. It’s kind of like the Super Bowl; if the fight’s big enough, you might see props for things like which round the fight will end in, or whether a fighter will win by unanimous decision or majority/split decision.

 

How to Bet on the UFC

UFC Betting Strategy and Tips

The more you know about mixed martial arts, the better you’ll do at picking a winner. But even if you’re a beginner, you can put the squeeze on your competition by going online and doing some quick research on the two fighters in question. As they say, styles make fights; a well-rounded MMA practitioner will be skilled at both striking and grappling, both on offense and defense. Look for fights where one opponent’s strengths match up well against the other opponent’s weaknesses. In general. someone with black belts in multiple disciplines (say, Brazilian jiu-jistu and Muay Thai) is more likely to prevail against someone with a lesser belt in just one martial art.

You can also find betting value on the UFC props market by paying attention to the weight divisions. Smaller fighters tend to have more stamina, and they don’t pack the same punching power as fighters from the heavier divisions. It makes a big difference; in the lightest UFC division, Women’s Strawweight (up to 115 pounds), roughly 70 percent of fights end in a decision, while the men in the Heavyweight division (206-265 pounds) only go to the judges’ score cards about 25% of the time.

 

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