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UFC 243 Betting: Robert Whittaker vs. Israel Adesany

It’s hard to become the biggest event in UFC history, but that’s exactly what UFC 243 from Melbourne Australia is aiming to do on October 5. With a capacity of 60,000 people, Marvel Stadium in Melbourne is on track to sell out, which would make it the most-attended UFC event of all time. A big reason for the fervour from Down Under is that an epic trans-Tasman tilt has become the main event for UFC 243.

Aussie and Middleweight title holder Robert Whittaker will face Kiwi and interim title holder Israel Adesanya in a title unification bout. The love affair that Australians have developed for MMA combined with this showdown between two of the best hometown fighters in the world has set Australia and the MMA world on fire. To mark this historic event, we’ll break down the MMA betting odds for Whittaker vs. Adesanya and the other notable tilts that demand your attention on the UFC odds board.

UFC 243 Odds: Robert Whittaker vs. Israel Adesanya

Robert Whittaker (20-4-0) returns home to take the octagon for the first time since June 2018 when he defeated Yoel Romero in a split decision. The Reaper is undefeated in his previous nine tilts, but has fought just five times since 2016 due to injuries. That begs the question of whether the powerful striker will be in good enough fighting form to defend his title against the hottest fighter in the UFC.

Israel “The Last Stylebender” Adesanya, is undefeated in 17 MMA fights since breaking into the sport back in 2012. The 30-year-old has bolted to the top of the Middleweight division following victories against Anderson Silva and Kelvin Gastelum earlier this year, and has secured the interim belt. Adesanya is known for his high striking IQ and towering presence in the ring, as he stands at 6’4” compared to Whittaker at 5’11.” The UFC 243 betting lines are favouring the more experienced Whittaker at -140, but this tilt is ripe for an upset.

UFC 243 Odds: Al Iaquinta vs. Dan Hooker

Adesanya's countryman, teammate and training partner, Dan Hooker, will also take the ring on October 5 to take on American No. 6-ranked Al Iaquinta in a Lightweight tilt. Both men have been knock-out machines in their UFC careers. Hooker is coming off of a KO victory over James Vick in July, which was his 10th KO/TKO victory in an 18-8-0 all-time record. Iaquinta has KO’d opponents in half of his 14 victories (14-5-1). Iaquinta is coming off of a loss to Donald Cerrone at UFC Fight Night 151 in May, so he’ll be looking to get back in the win column and move up the Lightweight ranks. Hooker has nearly five inches on Iaquinta and has won five of his last six fights; those factors have the Kiwi listed as a -145 favourite on the MMA odds board.

UFC 243 Odds: Luke Jumeau vs. Dhiego Lima

Yet another New Zealander will be in the octagon in Melbourne when Luke Jumeau takes on Dhiego Lima in a Welterweight matchup. It’s been 20 months since Jumeau’s last tilt, when the 13-4 MMA, 2-1 UFC fighter defeated Daiche Abe by unanimous decision in Perth back in February 2018. Lima takes the ring riding a two-fight winning streak after defeating Chad Laprise by KO at UFC 231 and Court McGee by split decision at UFC Fight Night 150. Certainly, Lima has much more recent fight experience, having fought in three bouts since Jumeau’s last match. It’ll be interesting to see if Jumeau shows any rust against the Brazilian. Oddsmakers think that may be the case, and have listed Lima as the resounding -205 favourite in this tilt.

Other UFC 243 Odds

The Aussie content will continue with a Heavyweight bout between Yorgan De Castro and Justin Tafa. Tafa is undefeated in three Xtreme Fighting Championship contests out of Australia, with all of his victories coming via the knockout. He’ll make his UFC debut against fellow newcomer De Castro (5-0), who earned Dana White’s attention after a first-round TKO against the heavily-favoured Sanford Alton Meeks in June on White’s Contender Series. Despite their limited professional experience, Castro is the -135 favourite.

The women will be featured prominently at UFC 243 as well, as Holly Holm (12-5-0) faces Raquel Pennington (10-7-0) in a Bantamweight matchup where Holm is the -205 favourite. In the Flyweight division, Australian Nadia Kassem (5-1-0) will take on South Korean Ji Yeon Kim (8-2-2). Kassem has just one UFC victory to her credit, while Kim has registered two wins in four UFC fights. That experience edge gives Kim the -165 edge on the betting line.

*Odds as of October 2, 2019

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How to Bet on UFC

The world of combat sports changed forever on November 12, 1993, when the Ultimate Fighting Championship held their first event in front of 7,800 fight fans in Denver. Now they’re the biggest promotion in mixed martial arts, regularly packing large arenas, and even stadiums, thanks to the millions of people around the world who are betting on the UFC. If you’d like a piece of the action, this UFC Betting 101 guide will show you how to bet on MMA fights, plus some tips and tricks to maximize your betting value.

 

UFC Betting

Unlike other sports that feature a regular season and a playoff, the UFC runs events throughout the year, with the most important ones reserved for pay-per-view and the rest shown on television or UFC Fight Pass. Each card will have about a dozen fights, including preliminaries, with the main event at the top of the card; PPV main events usually have a title on the line, from one of the UFC’s 12 weight divisions (eight male, four female). Here are your options for how to bet on the UFC:

 

Betting On The UFC

Moneyline Betting on the UFC

Like most head-to-head sports, including boxing and tennis, UFC betting is done using moneyline odds, which are expressed at Bodog Sportsbook using the American odds format. One of the fighters will be the favourite, and the other will be the underdog – unless they have exactly the same odds, in which case, the fight will be a pick ‘em. UFC moneyline odds are fixed odds, no point spread attached; all you have to do is pick the winner. The odds you get at the time you place your bet are the odds used to calculate your payout.

 

What Are UFC Moneyline Odds?

To further illustrate this concept, here’s the moneyline from one of the most famous fights in UFC history, when Conor McGregor first met Nate Diaz on March 5, 2016 at UFC 196:

 

  • Diaz                 +300
  • McGregor       –400

McGregor went into this non-title Welterweight bout at the UFC Featherweight champion, and an incredibly popular –400 favorite, paying out $100 for every $400 wagered. With the American odds format, the favorite will always have the negative sign; the underdog usually has the positive sign, as it was in this case with Diaz at +300. In the end, Diaz won this fight via second-round submission, and paid out $300 for every $100 wagered. Smaller and larger bets are allowed, within the minimum and maximum limits at Bodog Sportsbook.

 

Parlay Betting on the UFC

Chances are you’ll want to bet on more than one fight at a time. If you’re looking for a big payday, you can combine all those bets into a single parlay at Bodog. UFC parlays can feature anywhere from two to 12 moneylines; if you get all your picks right, you get paid exponentially more than you would by placing those bets individually. However, if even one of those picks is wrong, the entire parlay loses. It’s the classic risk/reward scenario in action.

 

How Do UFC Parlay Bets Work?

To figure out how much you’ll get paid if your parlay cashes in, just multiply the UFC odds for each fight in your combo bet. This can be a little tricky with moneyline odds. You can do it by hand, or by using one of the many parlay calculators available on the internet. Bodog Sportsbook will do the math for you automatically when you’re filling out your bet slip.

For example, the co-main event at UFC 196 was the following Women’s Bantamweight title fight between champion Holly Holm and challenger Miesha Tate:

 

  • Tate                 +240
  • Holm                –310

 

Holm was the heavy favorite after taking the title in a shocking, yet convincing upset over Ronda Rousey, who had beaten Tate soundly in both their earlier fights. However, it was Tate winning the belt by submission late in the fifth round. If you had bet $50 on Diaz and another $50 on Tate, you would have earned $270 in profit, but combining the two underdogs in a $100 parlay would have paid $720 instead. The more fights you add to a parlay, the bigger the payout – as long as you get all those picks right.

 

Futures Betting on the UFC

Betting on UFC futures can be a bit confusing compared to other sports, but it’s actually quite simple. Every once in a while, a situation comes up where two fighters might meet in the Octagon, but nothing has been made official just yet. If it’s two big-name fighters, and enough people are buzzing about their potential matchup, UFC futures odds will be posted.

 

What Is a UFC Futures Bet?

A futures bet in the UFC works exactly the same as a moneyline bet, with a favourite and an underdog shown as above using the American odds format. The only difference is you can’t use futures odds in your UFC parlay.

 

Prop Betting on the UFC

UFC prop bets (short for proposition bets) ask you to wager on something other than the straight-up winner of a fight. Among the most common UFC props are Margin of Victory, where you bet on whether a fighter will win by TKO/KO/DQ, submission, or decision, and Total Rounds, where you bet on whether the fight will go Over or Under the posted total.

Betting on UFC props gets even busier when there’s a marquee matchup on the card. It’s kind of like the Super Bowl; if the fight’s big enough, you might see props for things like which round the fight will end in, or whether a fighter will win by unanimous decision or majority/split decision.

 

How to Bet on the UFC

UFC Betting Strategy and Tips

The more you know about mixed martial arts, the better you’ll do at picking a winner. But even if you’re a beginner, you can put the squeeze on your competition by going online and doing some quick research on the two fighters in question. As they say, styles make fights; a well-rounded MMA practitioner will be skilled at both striking and grappling, both on offense and defense. Look for fights where one opponent’s strengths match up well against the other opponent’s weaknesses. In general. someone with black belts in multiple disciplines (say, Brazilian jiu-jistu and Muay Thai) is more likely to prevail against someone with a lesser belt in just one martial art.

You can also find betting value on the UFC props market by paying attention to the weight divisions. Smaller fighters tend to have more stamina, and they don’t pack the same punching power as fighters from the heavier divisions. It makes a big difference; in the lightest UFC division, Women’s Strawweight (up to 115 pounds), roughly 70 percent of fights end in a decision, while the men in the Heavyweight division (206-265 pounds) only go to the judges’ score cards about 25% of the time.

 

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