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Super Bowl Odds Tracker

We’ve seen some amazing things happen on the NFL gridiron this year. Two games have ended in a tie thus far, with several more going deep into overtime. One of those ties involved the Cleveland Browns, who also won two games, making this their most successful season since 2015. Drew Brees (passing yards) and Adam Vinatieri (field goals) set NFL career records. And Tom Brady threw his 500th touchdown pass, making him the first to do so for one club.

But when it’s all said and done, 2018 might be remembered as the year the Los Angeles Rams overthrew Brady’s New England Patriots and ushered in the NFL’s newest dynasty. The undefeated Rams have taken sole possession of first place on the Super Bowl odds board, leaving the Patriots well behind in second. Here’s a look at the top five contenders on the Super Bowl 53 futures market at press time:

 

1. Los Angeles Rams: +333 Super Bowl Odds

The Rams (6-0) haven’t snuck up on anyone; they’ve been in the top five since the preseason, after last year’s remarkable turnaround under head coach Sean McVay – who earned AP Coach of the Year honors in his rookie campaign at the tender age of 31. McVay has quickly established himself as one of the brightest minds in football, and QB Jared Goff has blossomed into one of the league’s best quarterbacks under his tutelage. But the LA defense has been put through the wringer with injuries – most notably to five-time Pro Bowl CB Aqib Talib (ankle), one of seven Rams defenders out of commission for the long term.

 

2. New England Patriots: +600 Super Bowl Odds

Who would you rather have as your head coach: McVay, or Bill Belichick? It might depend on your personality type – and your age – but the Patriots (4-2) are still very much in the title picture for at least one more year. Even with the Rams ascendant, New England’s odds to win Super Bowl LIII have improved from +650 to +600, as the Belichick-Brady regime welcomes its latest addition: WR Josh Gordon, acquired from the Browns in Week 4. New England have won three games at 2-1 ATS since pulling the trigger on this deal.

 

3. Kansas City Chiefs: +700 Super Bowl Odds

The Rams may be the last undefeated team left standing, but the Chiefs (5-1) are the only ones with a perfect ATS record. They might even have the perfect quarterback for the “new” NFL. Patrick Mahomes II is on fire, leading the league with 18 TD passes after six games. Mahomes has a strong offensive line protecting him, a cannon for an arm, and a head coach in Andy Reid whose offensive game plan is finally earning some respect. But the Chiefs also have one of the worst defenses in the league, and their Super Bowl betting odds may be overly inflated after jumping up from +1200 last month.

 

4. New Orleans Saints: +800 Super Bowl Odds

It’s been nine years since Brees and head coach Sean Payton brought the Vince Lombardi Trophy to New Orleans for the first time. There have been some bumps in the road since then, but the Saints (4-1) are back in business and rising up the 2019 Super Bowl odds list. The NFL’s stricter rules for making contact with the quarterback have helped Brees stay potent at age 39, while hiding some of the warts on their own pass rush. Those warts may become more obvious as the season wears on and the officials back off – if they do.

 

5. Minnesota Vikings: +1200 Super Bowl Odds

This could be the last time you see the Vikings (3-2-1) on this list. Their Super Bowl odds have already slipped from +900 to +1200, despite winning back-to-back games; QB Kirk Cousins is having some issues behind his depleted offensive line, and the injury-plagued Minnesota secondary lost another important piece when CB Mike Hughes tore his ACL in last Sunday’s win over the Arizona Cardinals. The Vikes are third in the NFC North heading into Week 7, and it doesn’t get any easier from here – they’ve got one of the toughest remaining schedules in the league, including key games against the Patriots and the Saints.

 

 

*Odds as of October 19, 2018