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NFL Super Bowl 53 Betting Odds: NFL Divisional Playoffs Odds

 

After an exciting Wild Card Weekend, we move on to the Divisional Round of the playoffs where the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds in each conference are back in action after their bye weeks. All four teams that were off last week—the Kansas City Chiefs (-5), Los Angeles Rams (-7), New England Patriots (-4) and New Orleans Saints (-8) —are all favoured to win on the NFL playoffs betting odds board and move on this weekend.

 

That is, unless the underdogs have their way. Underdogs ruled the first round of the playoffs, with three of the four winning outright and covering (depending on what NFL betting lines you got for Seattle). The Indianapolis Colts (+1.5), Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5) and Philadelphia Eagles (+6.5) all advanced, while the Seahawks (+2) lost by two in Dallas.

 

Since 1990, the team with home-field advantage in the Divisional Round has won just about 75% of the time, so history suggests that the favourites will do well this week. Let’s take a closer look at the Super Bowl futures and the NFL playoff betting odds for the Divisional Playoff round.

 

NFL Betting Breakdown

 

The Super Bowl odds have shifted around quite a bit over the last month of the season, with some teams having fallen off, while others made a run for the playoffs. The Philadelphia Eagles were 14th on the NFL Vegas odds board at +5000 just under a month ago, but are now No. 7 with +1300 odds. The Dallas Cowboys were another big mover, going as high as +6600 when they started 3-5 and are now +1800 on the NFL lines.

 

 

New Orleans Saints +250 NFL Odds

 

The Saints are the biggest favourite of the Divisional Round and the odds-on favourite to win the Super Bowl. To move forward this weekend, they’ll have to take care of the defending Super Bowl champs, who have been playing very well. The Eagles have won six of their last seven and are looking dangerous with Nick Foles under centre once again.

 

The Saints’ offense will have to lead the way if they’re to win this weekend, and after quarterbacking an offense that averaged 31.5 points per game, Drew Brees is in a good position to do it. Their defense also performed well, finishing 14th in points allowed and second in rushing yards allowed per game. They’ve won 20 of their last 32 as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points, but they’ve covered just 13 of those contests. The NFC Divisional odds board has the Saints as the top favourite to win.

 

Kansas City Chiefs +400 NFL Odds

 

The Chiefs are the No. 1 seed in the AFC, but they head into the playoffs in a little bit of a funk, dropping two of their final three games. The Chiefs led the NFL in points scored this season (35.3) mostly due to quarterback Patrick Mahomes’ breakout season. He led the NFL with 50 touchdown passes while finishing second in passing yards (5,097). The Chiefs are favoured to win on the AFC Divisional odds board.

 

To do that, the Chiefs have to get past an unusually difficult No. 6 seed this week. The Indianapolis Colts have won 10 of their last 11 games and are red-hot. Not only is their offense explosive when led by Andrew Luck, the defense has allowed the fewest points per game in the NFL (14.0) over the last eight games.

 

 

Los Angeles Rams +400 NFL Odds

 

After an offseason of loading up for a run, the Rams tied the Saints for the most wins in the NFL (13), with their only three losses coming from playoff teams. While the Rams’ offense is lethal, their defense is a bit of a concern as we examine their NFL Playoffs odds.

 

The Rams finished 20th in points per game allowed while giving up the most yards-per-carry (5.1) in the NFL this season. With Ezekiel Elliott, the NFL’s leading rusher, and the Dallas Cowboys visiting this weekend, that could spell trouble. The Cowboys are on a roll, winning eight of their last nine games.

 

 

New England Patriots +550 NFL Odds

The Patriots finished with 11 wins this season and it was essentially a Hail Mary loss in Miami that kept them from the No. 1 seed in the conference. However, this feels like one of the weaker teams in the Tom Brady-Bill Belichick era. The offense is averaging just 23.7 points per game over their last seven, Rob Gronkowski had one of his worst statistical seasons (just 682 receiving yards) and the defense was quite average (22nd in pass defense, 29th in yards-per-carry average allowed).

 

This week, New England will host the 13-4 Los Angeles Chargers, and history could be on their side. Philip Rivers is 1-7 in his career against the Patriots and 0-7 in games that Brady starts. The Chargers did have the NFL’s best road record (7-1), but winning in New England in January is a challenge.

 

*Odds as of January 8, 2018

 

 

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