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2019 MLS Odds: Odds to Win the MLS Cup

Not every league gives their best teams during the regular season a first-round bye in the playoffs – but they should. Either way Los Angeles FC would have this year’s shortest odds to win the MLS Cup even without the bye, but they have earned this advantage after their record breaking campaign. With 21 wins, nine draws and just four losses for a grand total of 72 points, LAFC eclipsed the 71-point mark set last year by the New York Red Bulls. 

That wasn’t the only record Los Angeles broke during the regular season. Carlos Vela wrapped up his stellar campaign on October 6 by scoring all three goals in their 3-1 win over the Colorado Rapids, cashing in as –335 home favourites on the MLS betting lines and upping his goal total to 34 – three more than Josef Martinez scored last year for Atlanta United. Even more impressive, Vela needed only 30 matches to get there, while Martinez played the full 34-match schedule in 2018.

MLS Cup Odds Breakdown 

United also won the title last year, so that should give Los Angeles fans more reason to like their chances behind Vela. Here’s a look at the top five favorites on the MLS lines at Bodog Sportsbook as they appear at press time:

1. Los Angeles FC: +150 MLS Odds

It wasn’t all good news for LAFC during their season finale. Defender Walker Zimmerman suffered a head injury after colliding with Kei Kamara, and had to be taken off the pitch in the 66th minute. It remains to be seen whether Zimmerman will be available for Los Angeles when they host their Western Conference Semifinal (10:30 PM ET) at Banc of California Stadium; he wasn’t healthy enough to be included on Team USA’s roster for their Nations League matches against CONCACAF rivals Cuba and Canada.

2. New York City FC: +500 MLS Odds

They didn’t dominate the Eastern Conference, but New York (18 wins, 10 draws, six losses) were definitely the best of the bunch after finishing the regular season with a goal differential of plus-21. That won’t concern LAFC (plus-48) too much, but when these two teams met at Yankee Stadium on March 17, LA needed a 76th minute penalty from Vela to escape with a 2-2 draw (+225). NYCFC will host their Eastern semifinal on October 23, although it will have to be moved to Citi Field if the New York Yankees reach the World Series.

3. Atlanta United: +800 MLS Odds

Martinez may have lost his goal scoring record, but United (18 wins, four draws, 12 losses) are just happy to have their talisman back in the lineup after he suffered knee and ankle injuries during their September 21 match against the San Jose Earthquakes. Fortunately, those injuries weren’t as gruesome as they first appeared; Martinez returned October 6 and scored his 27th goal of the year in a 3-1 win over the New England Revolution, cashing in as –265 home favourites. Saturday’s playoff opener (1 PM ET) also happens to be at home against New England, with United priced at –220 this time.

4. Philadelphia Union: +1400 MLS Odds

The Union (16 wins, seven draws, 11 losses) had the third-best goal differential in the East at plus-8, seven goals behind Atlanta; they’re available at +100 for Sunday’s opening-round match (3 PM ET) against the visiting Red Bulls, who ended the regular season at plus-2. Will this be the team to make it to the MLS Cup final and upset Los Angeles? When they met at Talen Energy Stadium on September 14, Philadelphia (+180) were able to secure a 1-1 draw – once again with Vela tying the score for LA.

4. Seattle Sounders: +1400 MLS Odds

The Sounders (16 wins, eight draws, 10 losses) also drew LAFC 1-1 back on April 28 as +180 home underdogs, and yes, Vela scored the tying goal in that match too. However, that was one week after LA (–155 at home) trounced them 4-1. Seattle can’t rest on their laurels when they host FC Dallas on Saturday (3:30 PM ET) as –135 favourites; the 2016 MLS Cup champions may be the No. 2 seeds in the West, but they only finished fifth in goal differential at plus-3, five goals worse than Dallas.

*Odds as of October 24, 2019

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