March Madness Betting

March Madness Betting

 

Bet On College

 

March Madness Odds Tracker 

Has it really been more than six months since the Villanova Wildcats beat the Michigan Wolverines to win college basketball’s National Championship? Hard to believe, but the 2018-19 season is nearly upon us – and the Wildcats aren’t among the top favourites this year. After opening in third place at +850 on the March Madness odds board, Villanova have fallen to sixth place at +1200. And they could fall even further before their season tips off in early November.

 

March Madness Betting Preview: The Early Favourites

The reason their odds to win March Madness have plunged is because the Wildcats have lost their four leading scorers from last year’s title team. Mikal Bridges, Donte DiVincenzo, Jalen Brunson and Omari Spellman all had their names called at the 2018 NBA Draft, leaving head coach Jay Wright with yet another rebuilding project on his hands. And as talented a recruiter as Wright may be, Villanova just isn’t the same destination spot as, say, Duke or Kentucky.

Speaking of whom, Duke and Kentucky happen to be the leading favourites on the March Madness Vegas odds at press time – with the leading recruiting classes in Division I. Here’s how the top five teams (including ties) stack up heading into the new season.

 

1. Duke Blue Devils: +450 Odds to Win March Madness

Mike Krzyzewski doesn’t have to worry as much as Wright when it comes to replacing his top talent. Even though Marvin Bagley III, Gary Trent Jr. and Wendell Carter Jr. have all skipped town, the Blue Devils (29-8 last year) might have an even more talented batch of one-and-done players this year. RJ Barrett and Cam Reddish are the two highest-rated prospects in the country; Zion Williamson is No. 5 and climbing, and Krzyzewski has another five-star recruit on board in point guard Tre Jones.

 

2. Kentucky Wildcats: +500 Odds to Win March Madness

The Wildcats (26-11) have seen their March Madness betting odds shorten from +850 to +500, thanks to yet another impressive recruiting class from head coach John Calipari. Just like Krzyzewski at Duke, Calipari has lured four five-star prospects to Lexington: EJ Montgomery, Ashton Hagans, Keldon Johnson and Immanuel Quickley. Tack on graduate transfer Reid Travis from Stanford, and the ‘Cats are easily the top title threats from the SEC – even if they couldn’t get Kevin Knox (now with the New York Knicks) to stay for one more year.

 

3. Kansas Jayhawks: +750 Odds to Win March Madness

Also moving up the March Madness betting board: the Jayhawks (31-8), who were +850 after the end of the last tournament. This is familiar territory for head coach Bill Self. He’s got another strong batch of freshmen for 2018, with Quentin Grimes and Devon Dotson joining the backcourt, and the addition of former Memphis swingman KJ Lawson will help cushion the loss of both Malik Newman and Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk. But can Self get this team past the Final Four and into the National Championship Game for the first time since 2012?

 

4. Gonzaga Bulldogs: +800 Odds to Win March Madness

The Bulldogs (32-5) came so close to winning it all two years ago. Last year brought yet another trip to the Sweet 16 for head coach Mark Few, but that’s as far as they got. Keeping the cupboard full is always a challenge in Spokane; Few will once again rely on transfers to fill the void, this time in the form of Brandon Clarke (San Jose State) and Geno Crandall (North Dakota). At least he has the luxury of playing in the West Coast Conference, where Few will have ample time to prepare his team for another deep March Madness run.

 

4. Nevada Wolf Pack: +800 Odds to Win March Madness

The last time Nevada (29-8) were serious title contenders, they had Ramon Sessions and JaVale McGee in the lineup. That was well before head coach Eric Musselman landed in Reno. This is Musselman’s fourth season with the Wolf Pack, and he’s got them back in the Tournament picture after reaching the Sweet 16 last year. Again, it will take some transfer magic to keep Nevada rolling; Former Old Dominion big man Trey Porter should be a nice complement to Musselman’s top recruit, center Jordan Brown. That leaves senior guards and twin brothers Caleb and Cody Martin to do their thing in what could be the most explosive backcourt in all of Division I.

 

 

BET ON COLLEGE BASKETBALL

 

 

2018 March Madness Betting Guide

The College Basketball Playoffs, commonly referred to as March Madness, are some of the most exciting playoffs in all of sports due to the unpredictable nature of the tournament. The top 68 teams in the nation earn a coveted spot in the prestigious competition either by winning their conference championship or getting chosen by the selection committee as at-large bids. The eventual winner is decided through a single-elimination bracket format tournament. There are 32 conference champions that receive automatic bids and 36 at-large selections whose participation is determined by the committee. We’ll get you ready for betting on the March Madness odds board by discussing the different bet types available to you to enhance your college basketball watching experience this spring. 

 

March Madness Point Spread Betting 

When it comes to the college basketball betting lines, spread betting is the most popular way to get in the action. With spread betting, the team that is favoured to win the game is given a certain number of points that they have to win by to be considered a winning bet. This is called the spread, and the odds of betting on either team using the spread are fairly even.

For example, if Virginia is playing Auburn after both teams have gotten through their first two round matchups, the Sweet 16 spread might be something like this:

Virginia Cavaliers -7.5
Auburn Tigers +7.5

The negative sign means that Virginia is a 7.5-point favourite over Auburn. In order for a Virginia point spread bet to pay out, they would have to cover the spread by winning by 8 or more points. Auburn, on the other hand, would have to win the game or lose by no more than 7 points for a Tigers bet to win. If the NCAA tournament lines have deemed Virginia as a flat 8-point favourite and they win by exactly 8 points, the bet is considered a push and you would get your initial bet returned to you, regardless of which team you wagered on.

You also have the option to “buy points” with March Madness betting. In the above example, if you believe the spread is right where it should be, you can pay a small premium to buy a half-point and have the odds shift from -7.5 to -7 if betting on Virginia, or from +7.5 to +8 if betting on Auburn. The odds might shift from -110 to -120, however, so you would have to pay $120 (instead of $110 if you don’t buy points) to win $100. Buying points increases your chances of getting your money back.

Sometimes, the two teams are so even that the March Madness lines will have no favourite and thus no point spread. This is called a Pick ‘Em game, which essentially results in a moneyline bet due to the lack of a spread. 

 

March Madness Betting the Moneyline 

Some bettors enjoy betting the moneyline due to its simplicity. With a moneyline bet, you are betting on one thing only – which team will win the game. Because of a lack of point spread, the odds themselves change to reflect the likelihood of each team winning the tilt. A bet on the underdog pays out more, while a safer bet on the favourite would require a premium. Using the above example and assuming Virginia got through Auburn in the Elite 16 round and are now facing Ohio State, the Elite 8 odds for the moneyline may look like this:

Virginia Cavaliers -265 
Ohio State Buckeyes +225

If you’re betting on Virginia, you have to wager $265 to win $100, as they’re the favourites. Ohio State, on the other hand, will pay out more if the bet is a winner, returning $225 on an initial risk of $100. Moneyline betting is an easy way to get into the action if you’re a beginner, or simply prefer wagering on the game outcome straight up.

 

March Madness Over Under Betting 

The Over/Under betting (also known as total betting) is another simple form of betting that makes the March Madness experience more enjoyable. You can bet on the total number of points scored in the game or half. For example, if Ohio State pulled off the upset over Virginia and is now facing their Big 10 rival Michigan State, the Final Four odds may have the total set at 159 total points. You can bet the Under and root for a sloppy, turnover-prone game with excellent defence, or the Over and hope for a plethora of made three-pointers with defenders missing most of their assignments. If you enjoy predicting the total number of points scored, this wager is right up your alley. 

 

March Madness Futures Betting 

As opposed to betting on the outcome of a single game, futures betting allows you to bet on a macro level by predicting how a certain team might do during the season, or how far they will go in the playoffs. This includes wagering on NCAA Championship odds. You can bet during the regular season or once the tournament has begun, with the odds constantly updating throughout the season and the playoffs.

For example, if you believe Virginia’s odds to win NCAA Championship provide great value at +2200, you can make that bet and hope for the Cavaliers to bring home the bacon. If you’re a big picture sports fan, you should consider futures betting.

 

March Madness Prop Bets – What is a Prop Bet? 

Prop betting is another exciting way to stay engaged during March Madness that allows you to wager on events that are related to the game(s) but may not necessarily impact the final result. These betting options could be anything from tournament MVP or how many points a certain player will score to more fun and even silly events like whether the total points scored in a game will be an odd or even number.

Continuing with our Ohio State vs. Michigan State example, a prop bet could be the total number of points the Spartans get from their top scorer, Miles Bridges, in their Final Four matchup. The total might be set at 19.5 points, for example, so if you believe he’ll explode in the biggest game of his career, you would take the Over. If you’re a detail-oriented bettor, prop betting might be for you.

 

March Madness Parlay Bets – What is a Parlay Bet? 

Parlay betting is the ability to combine multiple bets into one. This bet results in higher winnings than if the bets were made individually because bet profits are reinvested into the next wager.

Using the Virginia/Ohio State matchup from above, let’s suppose the odds are as follows:

Moneyline Odds:
Virginia Cavaliers -265 
Ohio State Buckeyes +225

Total Points Scored:
Over 132 (-110)
Under 132 (-110)

Let’s say you believe Virginia will win the game, but for them to do this, it has to be a low scoring game. Their offense simply isn’t potent enough to win otherwise. If you wager $50 on each outcome individually ($100 total), you will end up with $164.32: your initial $100 investment and a profit of $64.32. However, if you parlay the two bets together, you’ll have amassed $262.95, which includes a profit of $162.95. Just like the principle of compounding interest/returns, your profits look much better in a parlay bet.

Unsurprisingly, these bets are also riskier, as all of your bets need to win in order for the parlay to be successful. If betting on multiple events is your cup of tea, you should check out parlay betting for higher rewards. 

 

March Madness Teaser Bets – What is a Teaser Bet?

Teaser bets are like buying points and parlay betting rolled into one. You can adjust the odds with a teaser bet in your favour by 4, 4.5, 5, or 6 points when betting on multiple outcomes in the same bet. The higher the teaser amount, the more of a premium you have to pay for the higher probability of winning the wager.  

Let’s suppose you’re interested in two Sweet 16 games and the NCAA tournament lines have the following:

Virginia Cavaliers -7.5 (-110)
Auburn Tigers +7.5 (-110)

Villanova Wildcats -5 (-110)
Oklahoma Sooners +5 (-110)

You believe that Virginia’s defence is too much for Auburn and that Villanova’s defence will effectively zero-in on the Sooner scoring machine Trae Young, making him a non-factor in the contest. However, you want to feel a bit more comfortable about making the wager. You can place a 4-point teaser bet on Virginia and Villanova, shifting their odds to -3.5 and -1 respectively. The payout will be even odds, which is less of a return than if you didn’t buy the extra points.

If you enjoy having a bit of a cushion and don’t mind foregoing the higher earnings you could have with a regular parlay bet, you may decide to opt for some teaser action.

 

March Madness Live Betting

Many of the betting types described above aren’t only available before the game has started – you can place the wagers as the game is going on as well. With live betting, odds shift based on what’s happened in the game so far and if you catch them at the right time, it could yield a hefty payout. For example, if Virginia is down by 12 points to Auburn at halftime but you believe they’re a great second-half team and will make a comeback after the break, you can buy them while their odds are down. Their pre-game odds may have been -330 but are now +145. Live betting is typically available for bets such as spread, moneyline, and points total betting to name a few.

 

March Madness Betting Tips 

When deciding which teams or outcomes to bet on, it might seem tempting to bet on underdogs and long shots, as the payoff for these wagers is higher. While that’s certainly the case, remember that it’s higher for a reason – these events are less likely to happen than the bets that have a minus sign in front of them. Professional bettors win more frequently betting on the favourites. The profit won’t blow you away, but you might come out with more cash in the end.

Another good guideline to follow is to combine events that are likely to happen, like betting on Virginia coupled with a low points total in the example described earlier. If you can bet on events that have a higher probability of occurring if another event takes place (ex. a star has to score many points for his team to win), it might be a good idea to place a parlay bet on the outcomes.

Bodog offers a wide variety of betting options for this year’s tournament, so make sure you check out all the March Madness lines before deciding on your ultimate betting strategy. There are many fun bets you can make to supplement your college basketball watching experience, so make sure to take advantage of everything our sportsbook has to offer. Happy betting.

 

*Odds as of October 12, 2018