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The Atlanta Falcons are one of the best stories this season. They’ve won three of their first four games and sit atop the NFC South division. Their signature win came last week when they stomped the defending NFC Champion Carolina Panthers 48-33. Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan and wide receiver Julio Jones shredded the secondary, with Ryan setting a franchise record of 503 passing yards (300 of which went to Jones). Can Jones stay hot this week?

 

Julio Jones Total Receiving Yards in Week 5

Over 90.5: -130

Under 90.5: -110

Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Julio Jones had 300 receiving yards last week, just 36 shy of tying the NFL’s single-game record. It was the sixth time in NFL history that a player finished with 300+ receiving yards. However, that came against the Carolina Panthers, who’ve struggled to regain last season’s form. How will Jones do against the Denver Broncos, who are one of the best defenses in the NFL?

The Broncos lead the league in sacks, so Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan won’t be as comfortable when he drops back to pass. Jones will also square off with a couple of the best cornerbacks in the league this week, including Aqib Talib, which could slow him down. He’s surpassed the total twice this season, and fell short in two games.

 

Tom Brady Total Interceptions in Week 5

Over 0.5: -120

Under 0.5: -120

New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady returns to an easy matchup against the Cleveland Browns, and people are curious see how he’ll perform in his first game back. While the Browns are the NFL’s last winless team, their secondary has picked off five passes (fifth-best in the NFL). However, Brady rarely throws picks. He’s thrown a total of 16 interceptions in his last 32 games and only had one interception through his first seven games last season.

 

Will the Indianapolis Colts Make the Playoffs?

Yes: +250

No: -400

The Colts look a bit broken these days. They’re 1-3 and facing an uphill battle to make the playoffs. They’ve allowed the most quarterback sacks in the NFL, and Andrew Luck has been hit 39 times, which is the third-most in the league. He might be their franchise player, but he’s not getting any time to make decisions.

If they couldn’t beat the Jacksonville Jaguars or Detroit Lions, and could barely beat the San Diego Chargers, they’ll struggle when they face the Pittsburgh Steelers, Houston Texans, Minnesota Vikings and Oakland Raiders.

 

Will the Carolina Panthers Make the Playoffs?

Yes: +125

No: -165

The Panthers have looked like a shell of themselves this season start, winning only one of their first four games. Last year, they won 15 of 16 regular season games. Their defense is giving up over 10 points more per game than they did last season, and quarterback Cam Newton has been a turnover machine.

Part of the problem is that Newton’s been hit a league-high 45 times, with one of those hits causing a concussion that might keep him out on Monday Night Football. They haven’t been able to fall back on their running game either, as they were held to just 19 yards on the ground last week. They’re capable of turning it around, but right now, they’re struggling on both sides of the ball.

 

 

*Odds as of October 7, 2016