With NFL season kickoff coming, it’s time to examine the odds for the NFL’s Most Valuable Player Award. Having traditionally been dominated by quarterbacks with the occasional running back claiming the trophy here and there, it’s no surprise that quarterbacks top the list of favourites to win the MVP award again this year.
Tom Brady (+400)
Even though quarterbacks have typically taken home the MVP trophy in recent years, it’s not usually awarded to the QB that throws for the most yards in a season. If that were the case, Drew Brees would have seven MVP awards to his name already – he has none. Team success, most often judged by regular season record, is one of the most important factors voters consider, so it’s no surprise that Tom Brady is the MVP favourite (+400) for the 2017 NFL regular season. He has already won the award twice; his team clinched the Super Bowl last year and is favoured to repeat again this year, all factors favouring the forty-year-old legend. Can Tom Brady add a third MVP award to his collection this season and his first since 2010? Time will tell.
Aaron Rodgers (+500)
Coming into the season as the second-favourite (+500) for MVP is another two-time award winner in Aaron Rodgers. The Packers star QB certainly has the talent and the proven history of reaching the greatest individual accolade in his field. Rodgers finished third in MVP voting last year behind Atlanta Falcons Matt Ryan, who had a breakout season, and Tom Brady, a perennial contender for the trophy. As long as Rodgers gets ‘enough’ support from his teammates, he is skilled enough to take care of the rest by himself and carry his team to an excellent record, thus earning him the MVP honours. If you believe in the Packers this year, Rodgers is worth placing a bet for the MVP award.
Matt Ryan (+1600)
With the departure of offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan, there is skepticism whether Matt Ryan (+1600) can repeat his outstanding year from 2016. The reigning MVP had a magical season in which his passer rating of 117.1 was almost 5 points higher than Tom Brady’s, who finished second in the league in the category. He also threw a touchdown pass to 13 different receivers, which set an NFL record. The Falcons have retained 10 of these 13 targets for the 2017 season and have not lost any of Ryan’s major weapons, which include wide receivers Julio Jones, Mohamed Sanu, and Taylor Gabriel, as well as running back Devonta Freeman. If you believe new offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian will not be a significant downgrade from Shanahan, Matt Ryan is a sensible value bet consideration.
*Odds as of August 28, 2017